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- Why That “Off-Market” Deal Might Not Be What You Think
It’s always tempting when someone whispers “off-market.” The promise is exclusivity. Less competition. Maybe even better pricing. But in medical real estate—especially in behavioral health and senior living—off-market often just means it hasn’t hit CoStar yet. Not that it’s a hidden gem. We’ve seen this play out. A broker shares a deal privately, says it’s fresh. But when you dig a little deeper, turns out three groups already passed. Or the tenant’s financials raise red flags. Or there’s a pending CON issue that hasn’t been disclosed yet. None of that shows up on the flyer. And if you’re underwriting on the headline alone, you’re not getting the full picture. That’s where market intelligence comes in. Not to kill deals—but to make sure you’re not flying blind. When you’re spending millions, guessing shouldn’t be part of the equation. 📞 Want to run a quiet deal past someone who’s seen what can go wrong? Book a 15-minute call 📰 Prefer monthly intel that keeps you from overpaying? Sign up for the newsletter
- What’s Coming This Week in Medical Commercial Real Estate
Under-the-radar shifts are lining up this week, and they’ll matter—even if no press release calls them headline. 📌 Connecticut Hospital Sale Auction in Motion Prospect Medical Holdings is edging closer to a court-supervised auction of its Connecticut hospitals—Waterbury, Manchester Memorial, and Rockville General. This follows emergency loans and mounting pushback from the Connecticut Attorney General, who’s accusing Prospect of “vulture capitalism” and seeking a formal role in the sale process. Watch for bidders, asset roll-up scenarios, or liability shifts—it all impacts downstream CRE valuation assumptions. 🏥 continued momentum in Lenexa City Center Lenexa’s hospital-plus-MOB campus officially opened mid-July. The first phase includes a 44-bed hospital and a 56,000 sq ft medical office building. Tenant move-ins are starting and lease-up plans for future clinic space are slated through 2026. This is a live benchmark for suburban hospital-plus-outpatient modeling in pipeline strategies. 💰 HUD loan volume still rising Senior housing is still buying. HUD Section 232 financing is at its highest level in a decade, with forecasts signaling more capital flow into stabilized assisted living and skilled nursing assets. Borrowers still using express-lane pathways and aggressive underwriting remain front of queue. 🧭 Adaptive reuse alert San Antonio cleared a medical office-to-residential conversion this week for Highpoint Towers. While not medical-open space, it signals how markets are adapting. Healthcare CRE watchers should track where live-work-play conversions start intersecting with physician housing, workforce housing, or asset repositioning in med corridors. () Why It Matters Changing ownership dynamics : Prospect Medical’s case affects valuations and capital structure assumptions across legacy sale-leaseback assets. New benchmarks : Lenexa City Center is now live—a textbook case for inpatient-aggressive outpatient asset modeling in growth regions. Stable financing environment : HUD and GSE are still funding senior housing, reinforcing cap stack predictability for stable operators. Use alternatives emerging : Office conversions reflect shifting use cases that may influence future CRE synergies with healthcare. 📅 Want to stress test assumptions on any of these developments—be it valuation, lease-up trajectory or capital stack logic? 👉 Book a 15-minute call 📰 Want monthly market intelligence that cuts through the noise? 👉 Subscribe to our newsletter
- What Moved in Medical CRE This Week
1. Northern Virginia Institutional Portfolio Remedy Medical Properties and Kayne Anderson Real Estate closed a massive deal on eight medical office buildings—totaling nearly 800,000 sq ft near Inova Fairfax and Children’s National. Tax records suggest the deal valued north of $300 million , marking a marquee institutional entry into Northern Virginia outpatient space . 2. Boutique MOB Trade in Morristown, NJ A 58,440 sq ft asset in Morristown Medical Corridor changed hands for $13.2 million —fully leased, close to the hospital, with tenants like radiology and pain consultants. This underscores continued demand for high-quality single-asset deals in suburban medical demand hubs . 3. Western Growth Hits $100 Million in Volume Kiddder Mathews’ healthcare real estate team surpassed $100 million in closings in the Phoenix and Western U.S. corridor—100 transactions through mid‑2025, signaling renewed investor activity even in secondary and tertiary outlets . 4. Senior Housing Financing Momentum Berkadia’s Seniors Housing & Healthcare closed over $1.13 billion in financing across 64 properties—including HUD and GSE deals—through H1 2025. A clear sign of sustained capital access in senior housing right now . 5. St. Paul Deal Illustrates Volume and Value The Seven Hills senior living facility in St. Paul sold for $28 million , roughly $277,000 per unit. The 101-unit community had less than 10% vacancy and strong monthly rent ranges, cementing investor interest in stable senior housing in midwestern markets . 📊 Why It Matters Strong appetite remains for institutional portfolios in stable outpatient corridors. Boutique single-tenant trades continue to attract regional and local capital buyers. Senior housing financing is robust and backed by both HUD/GSE programs and bridge lending. Growth markets and secondary metros are delivering meaningful deal flow. Cap rate compression and rent momentum are present, but investor discipline is rewarded. 📅 Want to align comps or test caps and rents for any of these deals? 👉 Book a 15-minute strategy session 📰 Prefer monthly insights you can trust, no fluff? 👉 Subscribe to the newsletter
- The Lease Abstract Doesn’t Tell the Whole Story
You can read a lease abstract and still not know what you’re buying. On paper, the rent might look strong. The term might be long. The use might fit perfectly into your portfolio. But what’s missing is context. Is that rent actually sustainable, or was it sweetened with too many concessions? Is the tenant actively expanding—or quietly downsizing? Are nearby properties starting to offer newer space for less? We’ve seen deals marketed on clean abstracts, only to find out the tenant’s struggling with reimbursement cuts or the physician group is heading toward a buyout that could leave the space dark. That’s why market intelligence matters. It takes you beyond the lease summary and into the real dynamics driving performance. Because the goal isn’t to check boxes—it’s to protect your capital. 📞 Need to sanity check a lease before signing? Book a 15-minute call 🗞️ Get insights that don’t stop at the surface: Sign up here
- New Builds Are the Easy Part
Everybody loves a shiny new development. Big press release. Fresh glass and steel. “Healthcare anchor secured” in bold letters. But what happens after the ribbon is cut? We’ve seen plenty of ground-up medical builds sit half-leased for 18 months because the demand assumptions were off. Or they lease fast—to the wrong tenants—and cash flow gets shaky two years in. A pretty building doesn’t guarantee a performing asset. The tough part isn’t construction. It’s strategy. Where is the patient volume coming from? Are referral patterns stable? Is there actual demand for the services being offered—or is it a “build it and hope” play? Market intelligence answers those questions before the dirt moves. It helps you avoid building something that looks great but struggles to perform. Because once the walls go up, the risk gets real. 📞 Need an outside lens on your site plan or strategy? Let’s talk 🗞️ Sign up for intel that skips the fluff: Join the list
- Not All Medical Tenants Are Created Equal
There’s a big difference between a tenant and a good tenant. In medical real estate, that difference can make or break a deal. A private-pay dental group with strong margins and long-term community roots? Solid anchor. A low-volume specialty clinic with poor insurance mix and no affiliation? That might look fine on paper—but good luck re-tenanting when they move out. We’ve seen plenty of assets marketed as “fully leased” with tenants that are barely staying above water. The rent checks are clearing—for now—but underwriting them the same way you’d underwrite a regional hospital or a credit-backed practice is a mistake. That’s where market intelligence kicks in. It’s not about what the rent roll says —it’s about who’s behind the lease, how they’re performing, and what happens if they leave. Before you buy into a rent stream, make sure you understand the operator behind it. Good operators make great assets. Bad ones? They just burn time and capital. 📞 Curious if your tenant mix is actually strong? Book a 15-minute call 🗞️ Want curated intel each month? Sign up here
- What a 7 Percent Cap Rate Actually Means Right Now
sounds solid. Safe. Predictable. But in medical real estate right now, a seven cap doesn’t always mean what you think it does. That number might be based on rent that’s about to expire. Or on a group that’s behind on reimbursements. Or in a submarket where new inventory is quietly pulling tenants away. We’ve looked at recent deals where a “strong cap rate” was more like a band-aid—hiding bigger problems with lease security, rollover risk, or operator credit. That’s where surface-level analysis leads people into trouble. Market intelligence cuts through it. We ask, “Where did that number come from?” “What’s the story behind the lease?” “Is this sustainable or just inflated to make the math work?” Because a good deal isn’t just what the broker pitch says—it’s what’s underneath it. If you’re looking at an opportunity that feels a little too polished, it’s probably time to dig in. 📅 Get a second opinion before it’s locked in: Book a call 📬 Stay informed: Sign up for monthly intel
- Why Data Alone Won’t Close the Deal in Medical Real Estate
Everyone’s got access to some kind of data these days—public records, rent comps, sales history, cap rates. But here’s the thing nobody wants to say out loud: none of that matters if you can’t read between the lines. Medical real estate is loaded with nuance. Maybe the property’s got great fundamentals, but the main tenant is a struggling physician group. Maybe there’s hospital affiliation—but the hospital is planning a new MOB two blocks away. Maybe the rents look high—but they’re inflated by tenant improvement packages that wiped out yield. You don’t get that insight from a spreadsheet. This is where market intelligence comes in. It’s not about flooding you with stats. It’s about drawing a clean line between the noise and the signal—so you can move faster, negotiate better, and avoid mistakes that don’t show up until after the close. And while AI and automation are part of the process, they’re not the whole picture. You still need people who actually know what they’re looking at—and who’ve been around long enough to spot the red flags and hidden upside. That’s what we do. No fluff. No filler. Just real-world market intelligence designed for the way decisions actually get made. 📞 Let’s talk through your deal or strategy Book a 15-minute call 🗞️ Prefer updates in your inbox? Sign up for the newsletter
- What’s Shaping Medical CRE This Week
Things aren’t slowing down yet. Here’s what deserves your attention in the upcoming week: 🔧 CT Hospital Fallout: In Connecticut, bankrupt Prospect Medical Holdings just secured an additional $30 million in emergency financing to keep operating three hospitals. That follows a larger loan earlier in the year. No sale auction has closed yet, putting pressure on valuation terms, landlord credit risk, and potential distressed ownership scenarios . 🌿 Boerne, TX Breakthrough: One Seven Business Park—a 40,000 sq ft medical office development near San Antonio—began interior build-outs in late July for its first shell space. Completion is slated for September, signaling steady suburban demand in fast-growing Hill Country markets . 🏥 Kansas City Hospital Opening: AdventHealth’s Lenexa City Center—the first hospital in Lenexa, Kansas—opened mid‑July. Phase one includes a 96-bed facility and 56,000 sq ft of contiguous medical office. It marks $247 million in development and permanent on-campus MOB pipeline for future expansion . 🧬 Charlotte Innovation District Ramps: The Pearl medical innovation district in Charlotte continues progress. Featuring mixed-use labs, retail, and a new Wake Forest med school campus, the district is expected to deliver a new wave of life science and outpatient office activity in Q3–Q4 . Why it matters: The Connecticut funding deal highlights how bankrupt operators can complicate valuations and sale-leaseback terms. Boerne’s medical park launch is a textbook example of emerging suburban outpatient demand where population growth meets aging demographics. The Lenexa opening signals hospital campus plus MOB planning , which becomes the blueprint for capital-intensive outpatient strategy. Charlotte’s Pearl reinforces the rising role of innovation districts in creating mixed-use healthcare campuses—and potential new tenants, investors, and value-add plays. 📅 Want to review deals or comp alignment for any of these developments? 👉 Book a 15‑minute call 📰 Prefer to receive market intelligence you can actually use? 👉 Subscribe to the monthly newsletter
- Saturday Recap: What Actually Moved in Medical CRE This Week
This week delivered some hard signals in medical real estate—suburban medical office action, portfolio-sized campus plays, and senior housing financing volume that matters. 🩺 Northern Virginia portfolio deal Remedy Medical Properties and Kayne Anderson Real Estate quietly closed on eight medical office buildings totaling about 800,000 sq ft across Northern Virginia. These include a six-story, 120K sq ft building leased to Children’s National Health System, near Inova Fairfax Hospital. It’s a major market move, expanding institutional presence in a metro outpatient ecosystem. The price wasn’t disclosed, but tax records suggest valuation in the $300M‑plus range . 🏥 Morristown, NJ single‑asset trade A boutique 58,440 sq ft building in Morristown Medical Corridor sold for $13.2 million . Fully occupied and one mile from Morristown Medical Center, the property includes tenants like radiology, pain consultants, and medical groups. The cap rate works out to attract top-tier investor demand for stable suburban ground-up investments . 🔁 $100M milestone in Phoenix Kidder Mathews’ healthcare real estate team hit a major benchmark: nearly $100 million in sales and 100 transaction closings regionally through mid‑2025. It’s a solid sign that CRE activity—especially MOB leasing and small trades—is accelerating across secondary and tertiary Western markets . 💵 Senior financing surges Berkadia’s Seniors Housing & Healthcare platform closed over $1.13 billion in new loans during the first half of 2025. That covers 64 senior housing assets in sectors from assisted living to skilled nursing, including HUD and GSE financing solutions . That level of lending reflects both strong demand and underwriting confidence in stable operations. Why these moves matter Institutional appetite remains strong in high-quality MOB portfolios with credit anchors. Suburban single-asset trades continue to attract local and regional capital when tenancy and location align. Financing momentum in the senior housing space confirms capital is flowing again—especially for operationally resilient assets. Data volume matters —when teams hit $100M in activity, it means deal flow and execution are scaling. 📅 Want to walk through your local comps or test the underwriting on a deal? 👉 Book a 15-minute call 📰 Want sharp, monthly market insight with zero filler? 👉 Subscribe here
- Medical CRE Is Getting Louder. Are You Listening to the Right Signals?
The headlines say it’s a boom. MOB demand is up. Behavioral health is expanding. New projects breaking ground from Texas to the Carolinas. But not all noise is signal. We’ve seen three big deals recently that looked promising on paper—but the deeper we dug, the less solid the foundation became. One was tied to a health system in a reimbursement squeeze. Another was leased to a startup multispecialty group with aggressive growth plans but little cash on hand. The third? Overbuilt submarket with a high vacancy rate they tried to gloss over with “strong tenant interest.” This is why market intelligence matters. It helps you cut through the spin and get real about risk, timing, and return. Because in a noisy market, your edge isn’t speed—it’s clarity. 📅 Need a second set of eyes on something? Book a call 📰 Stay sharp with our monthly intel: Join the list
- You Can’t Underwrite Vibes
A lot of medical real estate deals are moving on momentum right now. Operators “feel good” about a market. Investors like the area. Brokers say it’s hot. But when the spreadsheets hit the table, the story changes. We’re seeing assets priced off of comps that are two years old. Rent escalations that don’t line up with regional reimbursement. Lease terms that assume zero downtime in a shaky submarket. That’s where market intelligence cuts through the noise. It brings you back to what’s actually performing—not what everyone wants to believe. A clean PDF and a handshake don’t hold up in front of lenders, equity partners, or your own balance sheet. The data has to work. 📅 Want someone to test the assumptions before you pull the trigger? Book a quick call











